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Some horses run well after an extended period of rest, and some trainers excel with this move, too, getting a horse ready to run one big effort after resting for an extended period of time. If a horse is running off of an extended rest (also known as a layoff, this is indicated in the DRF PPs by a thin line after his prior race or two thin lines if hes been resting for more than a year), this angle should be considered. Two ways to look for this angle: Take a look back at a horses previous efforts running off of a layoff. Did he win or run better than he did in races when he had less rest? If so, then consider betting on him today. Take a look at the trainer angle section at the bottom of the PP. Does this trainer excel (a win percentage of 15 percent or more) with horses running off of layoffs? If thats the case, you may want to play this horse today.
Beyer Speed Figures are the gold standard in the industry. They are arguably the most reliable speed figures out there, one quick tip. If a horse ever has a Triple Beyer Advantage, it makes good sense to take that horse seriously. A Triple Beyer Advantage is when a horses last three Beyer Speed Figures are better than the last three Beyer Speed figures of anyone else in the race. This numerical superiority wont usually lead you to too many longshots, but its a reliable indicator of horses who should tower over their competition. Although Beyer figures are a highly accurate measure of how fast a horse ran in past starts, it is important to remember that because of race conditions, level of competition and a variety of other factors, they're not a guarantee of how fast that horse will run today. However, one of the surest angles with Beyer Figures is using them to eliminate horses that are simply too slow to win. In a race with established form, if the contenders all regularly earn Beyers in the 70s, a horse who has never cracked 40 can be safely eliminated because he is simply too slow to win. Often, in such races with well established form, you will be able to eliminate much of the field, boiling the race down to the few true contenders.
Its only logical that horses will show improvement on the racetrack when moved to a new trainer who conditions his or her horses in different and sometimes more effective ways than the trainer who previously conditioned the horse. Daily Racing Form offers two good ways to clue you in to this angle: In claiming races, compare the winning percentage of the current trainer to the previous one. When a horse is claimed, DRF past performances will show you the winning percentages for the year for the last trainer and the new one. If the new trainer is having a considerably better year than the previous one year (lets say the new trainer has 16 percent wins and the old one only had 5 percent wins), then you can upgrade the horses chances with the new trainer. The Trainer stats at the bottom of each past performance give you crucial data about whether a new trainer succeeds with horses moving into his or her barn. The stat 1st Claim tells you the winning percentage the first time the new trainer runs a horse after claiming him, for this year and all of last year. And 1st W/Trn is a stat that tells you the winning percentage the first time the new trainer gets a new horse in his or her barn, for this year and all of last year. Any time you see a trainer in the 15 or 20 percent range with either of these stats, he or she is worth taking seriously.
The Daily Racing Form past performances contain a special set of ratings, the Tomlinson Mudder & Turfer Ratings. These ratings are based on a horses breeding. One rating assesses a horses likely aptitude for running on grass, while the other does the same thing for muddy or sloppy tracks. So, lets say you're at the races and its raining out or it recently rained and the track is muddy or sloppy. Its time to employ the Tomlinson Numbers! If you see a horse who has never run on the mud and shows a Tomlinson Rating of 320 or higher, this horse could be the type who LOVES THE SLOP. This horse could be the type to relish the conditions, and run big at long odds. So if its raining, consult the Tomlinson mud figures.
Some horses just love certain racetracks and aren't nearly as successful elsewhere. A great example is Lemon Drop Kid, who won the Futurity at Belmont as a 2-year-old but never threatened in subsequent stakes races in Kentucky. When he returned home to Belmont he ran a huge race and won the Belmont Stakes at 29-1! Lemon Drop Kid was a horse for the course. He loved Belmont Park. Daily Racing Form provides crucial data in the career box, (which is located in the upper right hand corner of the past performances), to help you find horses for the course. In each Career Box, DRF includes the horses record at the track and surface he is running on today. If you see a horse who shows a particularly strong record at todays track, take note because he may be a horse for the course.
Daily Racing Form displays up to six workouts underneath the past performance lines for any horse, and up to 12 workouts for a 1st-time starter. Those workout numbers compare the horses morning training activities to other horses at the track they are training at. If the horse works faster than any other horse in the morning, and at least 4 horses worked at that distance, it gets a black bullet next to the workout to let you know that this was an especially fast workout. Here are two tips: Upgrade your impression of the horse if theres a large B next to the workout. That means the horse got the bullet while Breezing, meaning he worked out especially fast without any special urging from the exercise rider. This is a very good sign. Take note if a horse earned a bullet workout when he showed no previous history of fast workouts. The increased speed in the morning could translate to an increased turn of foot at the races.
Some horses excel going from turf to dirt, or vice versa. Why? Turf is sometimes a less jarring surface than dirt. Therefore, if a horse has been racing on turf while his competition has been slaving away on dirt, the turf horse who is back on the dirt might have an advantage. And some horses excel going from dirt to turf because they prefer the less jarring nature of the grass. Daily Racing Form past performances offer a couple of great ways to play this angle: Look at the Tomlinson Turf ratings to see if a horse is well bred for the turf. If he has a Tomlinson rating of 280 or higher, and if he's never or rarely run on the turf before and is trying it today, consider betting on him. The trainer stats below the past performances tell you if each trainer excels with the Dirt/Turf (that dirt to turf) or Turf/Dirt move. If a trainer wins 15 percent or better with such a move, its a good bet that his horse is well meant in todays spot.
Whenever a horse adds the medication known as Lasix (furosemide) for the first time, the Daily Racing Form highlights this information with the white L in a black circle in the past performances. This information is highlighted because treatment with Lasix sometimes leads to a dramatically improved performance from a horse. The medication is prescribed when a horse has bled. Bleeding is a result of the rupturing of tiny blood vessels in the lungs, which is usually caused from over exertion in a horses previous race. Below are four hints you can use when it comes to Lasix: If you're looking for the big improvement with a horse running on Lasix for the first time, its best if you see a solid workout since his last race. This indicates the horse may be training well on Lasix and should be ready to pop first time out on this medication. Sometimes horses will show big improvement on Lasix when running on the medication for the second time. If the horse didn't show big improvement first time on the medication, second- time Lasix can be an interesting angle, too! Always look at the DRF Trainer Stats at the bottom of each past performance to see if a trainer has a positive history with horses running First-Time Lasix. If they've won 15 to 20 percent or more with their horses adding Lasix for the First Time, this is a very positive sign that the horses performance should improve with the addition of Lasix. Horses who are adding Lasix for the first time who are 2-3-or 4-years-olds, or who are that age and coming over from Europe for the first time, are more likely to pop first time on Lasix than older horses.
Betting 2-year-olds who have never raced before can be an inscrutable mystery, with little more to go on than workouts. But now, Daily Racing Form provides sales information on any horse that was sold at public auction. You can easily identify if any of these babies were particularly well-regarded in the sales ring. If you see a horse that sold for $150,000 when all of the other horses sold for chump change, theres a good chance he's well- meant baby - a horse whose owners are looking to get immediate returns on their big investment. To find the sales data, just look at the top of each horses past performance. If they were sold at public auction, it will list an abbreviation of the sale they were sold at in the middle at the top of each past performance. For example, KEESEP98 represents the Keeneland sale in September 1998, followed by the price the horse was sold for.
Some horses just love certain distances. Others have the ability to handle tricky distances that many horses struggle with. For example, when you see a horse running a marathon distance of 1 1/2 miles, you should understand that 1 1/2 miles is a distance that many horses just cant handle. Fortunately, Daily Racing Form provides this crucial distance data in the career box, which is also located in the upper right hand corner of the past performances. This data helps you find horses who have previously excelled at tricky distances such as the 1 1/2. In each Career Box, DRF includes the horses record at todays race distance. If you see a horse who shows a particularly strong record at the distance on that surface, take note he may be a distance specialist. ________________________________________________ |
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